Shoe Start and "Why the Tie?"
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Recently I discovered even more about the Tie bet. Right when you start a shoe, the majority of the time you can begin counting the hands. The number of hands to the first trigger is a set and you can bet the match exactly by counting the same number of hands and betting the multiples along with a push bet or two.
I've also found that set counts of five tend to be the most consistent. Set counts of two are a little small and can sometimes be deceptive. They happen but then occasionally they'll push with the three and then there's overlap because the Symmetry is so dense so it's hard to guess and you end up just betting a whole bunch. Set counts of three are good except when you start hitting multiples of six into a push at 7 or 13 or 10 for example.
If you are not familiar with set and match then this probably just sounds like audio hieroglyphics. However once you learn to recognize triggers and then count coups, in between the trigger as a set to a match, that will often hit a tie or a pair, (if you're able to gather recognition of shapes/patterns). Like Player/Banker on the main line, you can anticipate recurring patterns
What's better about the tie in Pairs bet however, is their patterns stay consistent. When you see a pattern occurring in player banker, and recognize that you caught it at the beginning of the pattern, that's fantastic. If you can manage to do so, my hats off to you. But most of the time it feels like a narrow guess against a wide range. The tie bet and the pairs bet tend to talk about what they're doing, because of implied symmetry and even recognized symmetry.
I prefer the Tie bet over all bets for this reason. You get eight times payout so even if the range of patterns is wide, you have a spread built into the payout to test for the pattern if you're unable to recognize it accurately. The player Banker bets immediately tax you and only give you a return with larger bets. There is the exception where you can have multiple wins in a row but it's always in short bursts and requires a lot of play time.
I much prefer the tie bet because you can flat bet it up to nine times to break even. I'm well aware that your individually placed wager has less than a 10% chance of winning. but once you begin to study information about the tie, you can calculate your expectation. If you bet in the same location every time the same events occur, then you are able to manage your expectation when you have the advantage. If for example, you bet a spread of three bets for the time every time there hasn't been a tie for 24 hands, your odds of hitting a tie greatly increase. I understand that this type of play requires more play time as well, but it is an example of playing purely based on probability and increased expectation.
Even a beginner could play this way. Have a bet depth of say 32, a bankroll of something like 5,000, and bet for the tie every time the situation arises say 8 times into this depth
The odds of this event leading to no win would require four separate shoes and not a single win when you had a positive expectation every time.
You can do things like this with the player banker bet, but I find the tie bet to be the easiest, provided you stay committed.
There's so many different strategies for the tie bet that can yield consistent positive results. When you use the main line bets, it feels like there's a little ghost creeping around the corner that might jump out and be the death of you. It never feels this way with the tie.
Feel free to message me if you have any questions because some of this jargon may be new to you, and you may be interested in seeing examples.